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美国丙肝病毒(HCV)感染者的老龄化：HCV患病率及疾病进展的多队列模型
Aging of Hepatitis C Virus (HCV)-Infected Persons in the United States: A Multiple Cohort Model of HCV Prevalence and Disease Progression
Davis GL, Alter MJ, El-Serag H  2010/7/9 14:05:06 
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Gastroenterology, 2010,
专家评级：
★★
循证评级：
B
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Background & Aims:
The prevalence of chronic hepatitis C (CH-C) remains high and the complications of infection are common. Our goal was to project the future prevalence of CH-C and its complications.

Methods:
We developed a multicohort natural history model to overcome limitations of previous models for predicting disease outcomes and benefits of therapy.

Results:
Prevalence of CH-C peaked in 2001 at 3.6 million. Fibrosis progression was inversely related to age at infection, so cirrhosis and its complications were most common after the age of 60 years, regardless of when infection occurred. The proportion of CH-C with cirrhosis is projected to reach 25% in 2010 and 45% in 2030, although the total number with cirrhosis will peak at 1.0 million (30.5% higher than the current level) in 2020 and then decline. Hepatic decompensation and liver cancer will continue to increase for another 10 to 13 years. Treatment of all infected patients in 2010 could reduce risk of cirrhosis, decompensation, cancer, and liver-related deaths by 16%, 42%, 31%, and 36% by 2020, given current response rates to antiviral therapy.

Conclusions:
Prevalence of hepatitis C cirrhosis and its complications will continue to increase through the next decade and will mostly affect those older than 60 years of age. Current treatment patterns will have little effect on these complications, but wider application of antiviral treatment and better responses with new agents could significantly reduce the impact of this disease in coming years.
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疾病资源中心  疾病资源中心
病例分析 <span class="ModTitle_Intro_Right" id="EPMI_Home_MedicalCases_Intro_div" onclick="javascript:window.location='http://www.elseviermed.cn/tabid/127/Default.aspx'" onmouseover="javascript:document.getElementById('EPMI_Home_MedicalCases_Intro_div').style.cursor='pointer';document.getElementById('EPMI_Home_MedicalCases_Intro_div').style.textDecoration='underline';" onmouseout="javascript:document.getElementById('EPMI_Home_MedicalCases_Intro_div').style.textDecoration='none';">[栏目介绍]</span>  病例分析 [栏目介绍]
甲状腺功能亢进合并黄疸

 王燕燕 王曙

上海交通大学附属瑞金医院内分泌科

患者，女，69岁。2009年1月无明显诱因下出现乏力，当时程度较轻，未予以重视。2009年3月患者乏力症状加重，尿色逐渐加深，大便习惯改变，颜色变淡。4月18日入我院感染科治疗，诉轻度头晕、心慌，体重减轻10kg。无肝区疼痛，无发热，无腹痛、腹泻、腹胀、里急后重，无恶性、呕吐等。入院半月前于外院就诊，查肝功能：ALT 601IU/L，AST 785IU/L，TBIL 97.7umol/L，白蛋白 41g/L，甲状腺功能：游离T3 30.6pmol/L，游离T4 51.9pmol/L，心电图示快速房颤。
 

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