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脂质和白细胞计数对2型糖尿病多部位肿瘤的预测价值 |
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Predicting values of lipids and white blood cell count for all-site cancer in type 2 diabetes |
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Yang X., So W.-Y., Ma R.C.W., Ko G.T.C., Kong A.P.S., Wang Q., Cockram C.S., Chow C.-C., Chan J.C.N., Tong P.C.Y. 2009/5/29 18:38:00 |
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Endocrine-Related Cancer, 2008, Volume 15, Issue 2
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Type 2 diabetic patients have increased cancer risk. We developed and validated an all-site cancer risk score in a prospective cohort of 7374 Chinese type 2 diabetic patients free of known history of cancer at enrolment, using split-half validation. Spline Cox model was used to detect common risk factors of cancer and to guide linear transformation of non-linear risk factors. After a median follow-up period of 5.45 years, 365 patients (4.95%) developed cancer. Body mass index (BMI; <24.0 or ≥27.6 kg/m2), triglyceride (≥0.81 to <1.41 mmol/l), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (<0.9 or ≥1.8 mmol/l), total cholesterol (<4.3 mmol/l) and white blood cell (WBC) count (<5.8×109 count per litre) were associated with increased cancer risks and exhibited non-linear relationships. We further linear transformed these terms for selection using backward Cox regression (P<0.05 for stay) in the training dataset. In the test dataset, calibration was checked using Hosmer-Lemeshow test and discrimination checked using area under receiver operating characteristic curve. In addition to age and current smoking, only linear-transformed total cholesterol and WBC count were selected. The risk score was 0.0488Xage (years)-0.5810Xtotal cholesterol (mmol/l, coded to 4.3 if >4.3)-0.3596XWBC count (109 counts/l, 5.8 if > 5.8)+0.6390Xcurrent smoking status (1 if yes). The 5-year probability of cancer was 1-0.9590EXP(0.9382X(RISK SCORE+1.5903)). The predicted cancer probability was not significantly different from the observed cancer probability during the 5-year follow-up. The adjusted area under receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.712. In conclusion, BMI, lipids and WBC count have predicting values for cancer. © 2008 Society for Endocrinology.
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Correspondence Address: Chan, J. C. N.; Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Prince of Wales Hospital, Shatin, Hong Kong; email: jchan@cuhk.edu.hk |
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疾病资源中心
摘自:《西氏内科学》,第23版
患者女性,21岁,因干咳、间歇性气促2个月到急诊科就诊。开始症状为上呼吸道感染引起的鼻塞、流涕和咳嗽。医生检查后开了抗生素。服药后鼻部症状缓解,但仍有轻微干咳和呼吸困难。其他症状包括疲劳和焦虑。否认发热、体重减轻、胸痛、端坐呼吸、气喘、鼻后滴漏、胃灼热以及神经系统症状。
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